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7

Sontsivka

2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 83

Newmarket · Tattersalls Stakes (Registered As The Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sergei Prokofiev colt who confirmed debut promise when winning 13-runner novice at Kempton (7f) just under 3 weeks ago, quickening to lead entering final 1f. Will go on improving and is one to look out for with Murphy taking over in the plate.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f GF 13314/0844 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f Sta 1334/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton41st5th−3
2026-08-14Newmarket42nd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength61%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20262nd9/488%90%+0.02
04/09/20261st1/297%100%+0.03