4
Goblet Of Fire
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 94
Newmarket · Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed) · 2m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kempton | 3 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-11-17 | Plumpton | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/11/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |