1

Gregory

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 113

Newmarket · Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed) · 2m

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Clearly hasn't been the easiest to train, nevertheless, he looked as good as ever when defying a 16-month absence (had a breathing operation) in listed event at York in June. Has been given plenty of time to get over that and he looks more than capable of defying a penalty back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Royal Ascot 21/06/2023 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 110 · 1m6f34y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2023 · OR 110 par21/061OR 1101 @ York 23/08/2023 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 111 · 1m3f188y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2023 · OR 111 par1 @ Doncaster 16/09/2023 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 111 · 1m6f115y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2023 · OR 111 par16/091OR 1111 @ York 17/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 111 · 1m5f188y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2024 · OR 111 par1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 111 · 2m3f210y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/06/2024 · OR 111 par20/061OR 1111 @ Goodwood 30/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 111 · 2m Gd 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2024 · OR 111 par1 @ York 23/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 113 · 2m56y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2024 · OR 113 par23/081OR 1131 @ Doncaster 13/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 113 · 2m1f197y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2024 · OR 113 par1 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 110 · 1m5f188y Goo 128 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 110 par13/061OR 110projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13York11st1st0
2024-09-13Doncaster15th5th+0
2024-08-23York13rd3rd+0
2024-07-30Goodwood13rd2nd+1
2024-06-20Royal Ascot17th6th+1
2024-05-17York13rd3rd+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0617/0523/0813/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength92%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20231st1/195%100%+0.05
23/08/20233rd8/1196%50%-0.46
16/09/20235th7/163%50%-0.13
17/05/20243rd5/174%60%-0.14
20/06/20247th15/261%25%-0.36
30/07/20243rd14/126%60%+0.34
23/08/20243rd5/287%75%-0.12
13/09/20245th10/382%20%-0.62
13/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34