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9

Magnetude

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 94

Newmarket · Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed) · 2m

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive 3-y-o handicapper who just failed to land a third success of the year on the July Course (1¾m) on penultimate start. Now takes on his elders after finishing down the field in a Goodwood Group 3 last time, and he could hit the frame if improving for a step up in trip/gelding operation.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 26/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 12826/0945 @ Chelmsford City 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Std 1335 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13320/1155 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 72 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 2 · OR 76 · 1m4f14y Std 133 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 76 par11/044OR 763 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 76 · 1m4f63y Gd 121 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 76 par1 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m6f34y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 84 par17/061OR 842 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 1m6f GF 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 90 par1 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 94 · 1m3f218y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 94 par30/071OR 94projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Goodwood16th6th+0
2026-07-04Newmarket22nd3rd−1
2026-06-17Royal Ascot18th8th+0
2026-05-07Chester31st4th−2
2026-04-11Southwell42nd6th−3
2026-03-16Wolverhampton51st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0916/0317/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20258th33/10%0%0.00
16/10/20254th50/10%40%+0.40
20/11/20253rd22/10%78%+0.78
16/03/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
11/04/20262nd4/596%0%-0.96
07/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
17/06/20268th100/10%30%+0.30
04/07/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
30/07/20266th18/15%17%+0.11