Peace Belle
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 100
Newmarket · Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed) · 2m
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Carlisle | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | 1 | 15th | 15th | +0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 03/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 09/04/2026 | 15th | 125/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 50% | -0.48 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |