Astracornus
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74
Newmarket · Budds Horseracing Memorabilia Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Nottingham | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Leicester | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |