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4

Double Meaning

4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 77

Newmarket · Budds Horseracing Memorabilia Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner of staying handicaps on the all-weather. Ran well to hit the frame both previous starts at this course, however, he clearly wasn't right when pulled up (reported to have bled) at Kempton 7 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 22/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m Std 13022/0545 @ Doncaster 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m3f197y Goo 127 · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 67 par5 @ Southwell 25/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 63 · 1m6f21y Std 126 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 63 par25/085OR 636 @ Lingfield 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 63 · 1m7f169y Std 137 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 63 par3 @ Ascot 03/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 76 · 1m7f209y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 76 par3/103OR 762 @ Newmarket 10/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 76 · 1m4f Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 76 par3 @ Nottingham 29/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m6f Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 77 par29/103OR 773 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m4f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Sandown 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m6f Goo 128 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 78 par13/064OR 78projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Kempton40
2026-06-13Sandown45th5th0
2026-05-15Newmarket33rd2nd+1
2025-10-29Nottingham35th4th+1
2025-10-10Newmarket24th2nd+2
2025-10-03Ascot32nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/054/0929/1013/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20259th50/10%43%+0.43
19/07/20255th13/266%20%-0.46
25/08/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
04/09/20251st1/398%100%+0.02
03/10/20252nd15/890%80%-0.10
10/10/20254th8/158%73%+0.15
29/10/20255th6/492%20%-0.72
15/05/20263rd10/382%71%-0.11
13/06/20265th15/890%50%-0.40