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3

First Officer

7yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 77

Newmarket · Budds Horseracing Memorabilia Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Smooth-travelling sort who's finished runner-up on 3 of his 5 starts this season. Again unlucky to bump into one when beaten 7 lengths in a better race on the July Course here latest. Very much respected given his form figures (312123) on the Rowley Course.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 02/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m4f GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 79 par2/083OR 793 @ Windsor 14/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m3f99y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 79 par3 @ Newmarket 23/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 78 · 1m6f GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 78 par23/083OR 784 @ Newmarket 25/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m4f Goo 134 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m4f5y Gd 132 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/054OR 774 @ Yarmouth 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 76 · 1m3f104y Sft 126 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 76 · 1m4f GF 133 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 76 par11/074OR 763 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m4f GF 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 77 par3 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 1m4f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 77 par20/083OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newmarket32nd1st+1
2026-08-01Newmarket34th3rd+1
2026-07-11Newmarket42nd2nd0
2026-06-11Yarmouth42nd2nd0
2026-05-23Salisbury45th5th0
2025-09-25Newmarket43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0825/0911/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20255th10/147%43%-0.05
14/08/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
23/08/20254th5/174%25%-0.49
25/09/20253rd7/163%71%+0.08
23/05/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
11/06/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
11/07/20262nd5/174%75%+0.01
01/08/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
20/08/20262nd13/266%75%+0.09