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2

King Of Berkshire

3yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 80

Newmarket · Budds Horseracing Memorabilia Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Form of penultimate second at Ascot has worked out well. Found plenty of improvement to notch a third career success (all from the front) in a Windsor handicap 10 days ago. Still looks well treated under a 6-lb penalty and can follow up for excellent connections.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m13y Std 12526/0345 @ Yarmouth 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 69 · 1m2f23y GF 134 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Redcar 30/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 68 · 1m2f1y GF 128 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 68 par30/045OR 685 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 74 · 1m3f99y Goo 135 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 1m4f8y Gd 135 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 74 par5/065OR 745 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 74 · 1m6f Gd 141 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 74 par3 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m6f34y GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 80 par11/073OR 803 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 1m3f211y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 80 · 1m3f99y Goo 132 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 80 par14/094OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor41st1st0
2026-08-08Ascot32nd1st+1
2026-07-11Ascot34th3rd+1
2026-06-12Sandown53rd4th−1
2026-06-05Thirsk51st2nd−1
2026-05-18Windsor53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0318/0511/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength75%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/03/20264th9/153%70%+0.17
21/04/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
30/04/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
18/05/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
05/06/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
12/06/20263rd8/1397%33%-0.63
11/07/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
08/08/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31
14/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07