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Masterinthewoods

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 81

Newmarket · Budds Horseracing Memorabilia Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Followed up his improved success at Salisbury with a hat-trick of seconds in 1½m handicaps this summer. Type to bounce back from a rare poor effort at Doncaster last time, though others look slightly better off at the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Haydock 09/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 1m2f100y Goo 133 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 72 par9/085OR 724 @ Newbury 28/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m2f Goo 129 · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 75 · 1m2f219y Sta 132 · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 75 par24/094OR 755 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m2f219y Sta 135 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 74 · 1m4f5y Gd 129 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/054OR 744 @ Goodwood 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m3f218y Goo 133 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 79 · 1m3f211y GF 141 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 79 par25/074OR 794 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 82 · 1m4f GF 135 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m3f197y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 82 par10/093OR 82projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster38th7th+1
2026-08-15Newbury42nd2nd0
2026-07-25Ascot42nd2nd0
2026-06-19Goodwood42nd2nd0
2026-05-23Salisbury41st1st0
2026-05-04Kempton57th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/084/0525/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
28/08/20255th7/282%50%-0.32
24/09/20253rd7/282%85%+0.03
04/05/20267th5/174%33%-0.40
23/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
19/06/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
25/07/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
15/08/20262nd11/893%75%-0.18
10/09/20268th4/179%13%-0.66