Mr Freedom
7yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 75
Newmarket · Budds Horseracing Memorabilia Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Plumpton | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2025-03-22 | Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 26/07/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 24/08/2024 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |