Zurna
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 81
Newmarket · Budds Horseracing Memorabilia Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |