Berry Clever
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 69
Newmarket · JRA Japan Cup Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |