13
King Of Charm
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 62
Newmarket · JRA Japan Cup Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Newmarket | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Lingfield | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 21/10/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 27/11/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 13% | -0.69 |
| 15/12/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 10/01/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |