1
Datstheholyallofit
5yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 102
Perth · Saltire Hospitality EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 35y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Sedgefield | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelso | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sedgefield | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sedgefield | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |