IvyArcIvyArc
3

Kingside Lady

4yo Filly · 11-4

Perth · Saltire Hospitality EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 35y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Point winner who failed to justify expectations on bumper debut in July. Conversely easy to back when proving a different proposition on hurdling bow at Wexford (17f) subsequently, always holding on for 2-length success. Open to improvement up in trip (likely to stay) and needs considering.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1504/07C?C8 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 1488/08C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Wexford?1st6th−4
2026-07-04Bellewstown?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/078/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +164.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/202613th3/184%20%-0.64
08/08/20261st33/10%100%+1.00