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5

Sky Blue Ribbon

5yo Mare · 11-0

Perth · Saltire Hospitality EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 35y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up completed start in Irish points. Ridden positively when beaten 11¾ lengths on debut in a Fontwell bumper in late-May (2¼m, 11/2), finding less than looked likely in a hood. In capable hands and no surprise to see her last longer on hurdles bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Fontwell 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m1f162y Goo 15624/055
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-24Fontwell54th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20264th11/271%40%-0.31