Scalpnagoon
6yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 115
Perth · Christmas Party Nights At Perth Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 20y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | BHA112 | 5th | 15th | −8 |
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | BHA114 | 3rd | 13th | −8 |
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA116 | 2nd | 12th | −9 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA118 | 4th | 15th | −9 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA120 | 2nd | 13th | −9 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |