Spectacularsunrise
6yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 125
Perth · Christmas Party Nights At Perth Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 20y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Ayr | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kelso | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Windsor | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chepstow | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Kelso | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Bangor-on-Dee | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 25/04/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 85/40 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |