4
Walking On A Dream
7yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 118
Perth · Christmas Party Nights At Perth Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 20y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Perth | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Ayr | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Newcastle | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Hexham | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Ayr | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Haydock | 1 | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 02/01/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 15/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 30% | -0.49 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |