6
Boston Queen
5yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 81
Perth · House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 47y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.3 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA84 | −3 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | BHA85 | −4 | ||
| 2025-10-05 | Killarney | BHA88 | 10th | 15th | −4 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sligo | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-06-08 | Punchestown | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +14.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 13/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/10/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |