9
King Gold Boy
6yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 63
Perth · House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 47y
#8
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Perth | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-08 | Musselburgh | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-14 | Perth | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Kelso | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-03-07 | Ayr | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-02-16 | Musselburgh | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2024 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/02/2025 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/05/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |