1

Sean Og

8yo Gelding · 12-1 · OR 111

Perth · Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 180y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cartmel specialist who produced what was probably a career-best effort when registering another success in July, leading over 1f out and asserting quickly. Shade better than the result back there 3 weeks ago and runner-up effort in last year's renewal of this confirms he's effective elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Perth 08/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 107 · 2m7f180y Gd 156 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 107 par8/094OR 1074 @ Perth 25/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 106 · 2m7f180y Goo 168 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 106 par4 @ Hexham 11/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 106 · 3m41y Gd 161 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 106 par11/104OR 1064 @ Carlisle 16/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 105 · 2m3f210y Goo 167 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 105 par2 @ Carlisle 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 103 · 2m3f210y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 103 par22/032OR 1033 @ Cartmel 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 101 · 2m5f34y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 101 par2 @ Cartmel 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 108 · 2m5f34y Goo 146 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 108 par28/062OR 1084 @ Cartmel 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 107 · 2m5f34y Gd 158 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 107 par3 @ Cartmel 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 111 · 2m5f34y Goo 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 111 par31/083OR 111projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Cartmel34th3rd+1
2026-07-18Cartmel41st1st0
2026-06-28Cartmel24th2nd+2
2026-05-25Cartmel31st0th+1
2026-03-22Carlisle24th2nd+2
2026-02-16Carlisle47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0916/0228/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20254th5/174%57%-0.17
25/09/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
11/10/20256th7/282%29%-0.53
16/02/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
22/03/20264th40/10%75%+0.75
25/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
28/06/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
18/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
31/08/20264th4/179%50%-0.29