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Wasdell Dundalk

11yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 110

Perth · Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 180y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Four-time C&D winner was collared only close home in a 6-runner handicap chase over a shorter trip here in July. Not as reliable as he once was in his advancing years, 28½ lengths last of 4 to Sir Carnegie in handicap chase at this C&D 17 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Perth 15/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 114 · 2m4f35y Gd 167 · below its mark15/05/2025 · OR 114 par15/054OR 1144 @ Perth 08/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 116 · 2m7f180y Gd 166 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 116 par3 @ Perth 13/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 116 · 2m7f180y Gd 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 116 par13/073OR 1164 @ Perth 08/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 119 · 2m7f180y Gd 168 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 119 par2 @ Perth 24/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 117 · 2m7f180y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 117 par24/092OR 1174 @ Perth 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 108 · 2m4f35y Goo 162 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 108 par4 @ Perth 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 114 · 2m7f180y Gd 164 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 114 par7/064OR 1144 @ Perth 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 111 · 2m4f20y Gd 169 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 111 par4 @ Perth 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 112 · 2m7f180y Gd 160 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 112 par7/094OR 112projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Perth44th4th0
2026-07-12Perth3+1
2026-07-02Perth42nd2nd0
2026-06-07Perth44th4th0
2026-05-14Perth46th6th0
2025-09-24Perth24th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/058/097/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20258th50/10%0%0.00
08/06/20252nd16/116%88%+0.72
13/07/20252nd11/1094%80%-0.14
08/09/20258th6/168%0%-0.68
24/09/20254th11/271%25%-0.46
14/05/20266th50/10%0%0.00
07/06/20264th22/10%40%+0.40
02/07/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
07/09/20264th8/158%0%-0.58