Idem
8yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 127
Perth · Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Musselburgh | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Haydock | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aintree | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Hexham | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 29/12/2024 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/02/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 13/03/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |