11
Lets Mingle
6yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 110
Perth · Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Perth | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Hexham | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-14 | Perth | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Perth | 4 | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 03/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |