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Letterston Lady

8yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 119

Perth · Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

95%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Full sister to stablemate Letterston Lily. Clearly isn't the easiest to keep sound but was thriving when landing back-to-back Market Rasen handicaps in May/June last year. Her record fresh gives hope of a big run on her belated hat-trick bid, too, with conditions likely to be in her favour.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newton Abbot 16/09/2022 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 15216/0954 @ Worcester 19/10/2022 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 1531 @ Newbury 26/11/2022 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m69y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS26/1114 @ Market Rasen 12/03/2023 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f140y Sft 1593 @ Perth 28/04/2023 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 110 · 2m47y Sft 159 · below its mark28/04/2023 · OR 110 par28/043OR 1104 @ Ffos Las 22/05/2023 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 107 · 2m4f Gd 155 · beat its mark22/05/2023 · OR 107 par3 @ Ffos Las 16/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 109 · 2m4f Sft 147 · beat its mark16/04/2025 · OR 109 par16/043OR 1093 @ Market Rasen 09/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 112 · 2m7f16y Gd 155 · beat its mark09/05/2025 · OR 112 par2 @ Market Rasen 02/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 116 · 2m4f139y Gd 155 · beat its mark02/06/2025 · OR 116 par2/062OR 116projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-06-02Market Rasen21st1st0
2025-05-09Market Rasen31st2nd−1
2025-04-16Ffos Las33rd4th−1
2023-05-22Ffos Las41st3rd−2
2023-04-28Perth34th5th−1
2023-03-12Market Rasen44th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0912/0316/042/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20221st4/797%100%+0.03
19/10/20221st11/1094%100%+0.06
26/11/20225th14/126%33%+0.07
12/03/20234th9/276%57%-0.19
28/04/20234th11/486%40%-0.46
22/05/20231st5/493%100%+0.07
16/04/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
09/05/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
02/06/20251st5/493%100%+0.07