7
Lord Accord
11yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 122
Perth · Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Warwick | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-22 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Fontwell | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Chepstow | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Cartmel | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 26/12/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 29/06/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 21% | -0.05 |
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |