IvyArcIvyArc
9

Medieval Gold

6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 114

Perth · Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 207y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course maiden hurdle winner (soft) for Micky Hammond. Best effort for current yard when runner-up (clear of subsequent winner) at Catterick (19f, good to soft) in late-February. Now in a change of headgear following 2 lesser runs this season and something to prove under less-than-ideal conditions.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Perth 16/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m47y GS 15216/0544 @ Haydock 21/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 108 · 2m2f191y Hvy 156 · below its mark21/12/2024 · OR 108 par4 @ Ayr 08/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 108 · 2m Sft 156 · below its mark08/03/2025 · OR 108 par8/034OR 1084 @ Carlisle 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 106 · 2m1f33y Sft 154 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 106 par3 @ Carlisle 30/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 108 · 2m1f Sft 151 · beat its mark30/11/2025 · OR 108 par30/113OR 1084 @ Carlisle 03/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 115 · 2m1f GS 163 · below its mark03/02/2026 · OR 115 par3 @ Catterick 24/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 115 · 2m3f66y Goo 160 · below its mark24/02/2026 · OR 115 par24/023OR 1152 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 117 · 2m47y Gd 156 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 117 par3 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 116 · 2m1f46y Goo 159 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 116 par29/083OR 116projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel39th10th−1
2026-08-15Perth27th7th0
2026-02-24Catterick32nd3rd−1
2026-02-03Carlisle43rd5th−2
2025-11-30Carlisle31st2nd−1
2025-11-02Carlisle42nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/052/1124/0229/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
21/12/20243rd7/163%67%+0.04
08/03/20254th8/158%50%-0.08
02/11/20252nd25/10%92%+0.92
30/11/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
03/02/20263rd11/486%80%-0.06
24/02/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
15/08/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
29/08/20269th12/137%20%-0.17