10
The G Wizard
6yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 112
Perth · Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Musselburgh | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Ayr | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Musselburgh | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-22 | Musselburgh | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-11-18 | Kelso | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-21 | Perth | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -22.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 80% | -0.03 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 23/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 11% | -0.74 |