5
Jetovango
7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 100
Perth · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA89 | 14th | 19th | −4 |
| 2025-08-09 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-07-04 | Wexford | ? | 10th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-06-08 | Punchestown | ? | 11th | 15th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 04/07/2025 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 25/08/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 150/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |