4
Maillot Blanc
9yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 100
Perth · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Perth | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Kelso | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Perth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kelso | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Musselburgh | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Kelso | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/07/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 25/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |