10
Am Still Here
7yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 82
Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-03 | Hexham | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Perth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Cartmel | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-27 | Cartmel | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-05-20 | Hexham | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Hexham | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 13/02/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 13/03/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 20/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 27/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 21/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |