Asa
7yo Mare · 11-13 · OR 99
Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Hexham | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-09 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Wetherby | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Musselburgh | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Kelso | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/10/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 22/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 09/02/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |