Chief Sunday
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 91
Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Stratford | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chepstow | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Newbury | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ffos Las | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 19/02/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 27/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |