IvyArcIvyArc
11

Gortmore Lady

6yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 82

Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In-form maiden who's hit the frame several times in Irish handicaps, latterly 19½ length fourth of 19 at Galway (2¾m). Could find this less competitive and needs a close look with Sean Bowen booked (stable second with pair of runners here earlier this month).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA86 @ Galway 08/09/2025 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 86 · 2m6f97y Goo 154 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 86 par8/0986OR 86BHA84 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 84 · 2m4f53y Goo 157 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 84 parBHA85 @ Punchestown 14/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR 85 · 2m4f Goo 153 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 85 par14/1085OR 85BHA85 @ Down Royal 31/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 85 · 3m30y Goo 153 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 85 parBHA82 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 82 · 2m6f120y Gd 150 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 82 par2/0782OR 82BHA80 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 80 · 2m1f165y Gd 148 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 80 parBHA79 @ Downpatrick 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 79 · 2m1f165y Gd 148 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 79 par9/0879OR 79BHA78 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 78 · 2m4f148y Gd 148 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 78 parBHA78 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 19 · OR 78 · 2m6f97y Yie 146 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 78 par7/0978OR 78projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07GalwayBHA784th7th−3
2026-08-19SligoBHA785th8th−3
2026-08-09DownpatrickBHA797th11th−3
2026-07-14DownpatrickBHA803rd7th−3
2026-07-02LimerickBHA829th13th−3
2026-05-22DownpatrickBHA83−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0931/109/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/202516th11/142%17%-0.25
29/09/20253rd18/15%86%+0.80
14/10/20255th14/126%79%+0.53
31/10/20257th9/153%68%+0.16
02/07/20269th14/126%53%+0.27
14/07/20263rd11/142%86%+0.44
09/08/20267th10/382%25%-0.57
19/08/20265th9/153%73%+0.21
07/09/20264th7/163%83%+0.20