1
Jet Renegade
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#15
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aintree | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-01-13 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 28/12/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 11/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |