Jolyjump
7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 97
Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-29 | Cartmel | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Worcester | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Plumpton | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-03-17 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-06 | Fontwell | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-02-10 | Plumpton | 4 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 30/10/2024 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/12/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 06/03/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 17/03/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 20/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 13/05/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 29/06/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |