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Prince Nino

9yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 80

Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on career-low mark when surprise winner (66/1) on C&D reappearance in May. Predictably went backwards from that over longer trip here subsequently. Remains to be seen what mood he's in for his 7-lb claimer (can race lazily) following 12 weeks away.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Sedgefield 26/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 77 · 2m3f188y Goo 145 · beat its mark26/12/2024 · OR 77 par26/125OR 775 @ Newcastle 16/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 77 · 2m4f62y Goo 145 · beat its mark16/01/2025 · OR 77 par5 @ Wetherby 12/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 80 · 2m3f154y Sft 149 · below its mark12/02/2025 · OR 80 par12/025OR 805 @ Newcastle 15/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 79 · 2m4f62y Goo 148 · below its mark15/03/2025 · OR 79 par5 @ Wetherby 28/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 3m26y Goo 148 · beat its mark28/03/2025 · OR 78 par28/035OR 785 @ Hexham 14/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 76 · 2m4f28y Goo 142 · beat its mark14/04/2025 · OR 76 par5 @ Perth 14/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 2m4f35y Gd 144 · below its mark14/05/2025 · OR 75 par14/055OR 755 @ Perth 13/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 75 · 2m4f35y GS 143 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Perth 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 80 · 2m7f207y Gd 150 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 80 par2/075OR 80projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Perth58th8th0
2026-05-13Perth51st1st0
2025-05-14Perth58th8th0
2025-04-14Hexham57th7th0
2025-03-28Wetherby54th4th0
2025-03-15Newcastle55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1215/0314/052/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20242nd16/116%92%+0.76
16/01/20252nd7/163%89%+0.26
12/02/20256th10/382%29%-0.54
15/03/20255th15/261%43%-0.18
28/03/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
14/04/20257th14/126%45%+0.19
14/05/20258th5/174%0%-0.74
13/05/20261st66/10%100%+1.00
02/07/20268th22/10%22%+0.22