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9

Takeyoutotheisland

6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83

Perth · A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 6-y-o from a good jumping family. Achieved more than previously (despite making hard work of it) when 3½ lengths second to Prince Nino on handicap bow over C&D (soft) in May. On better terms with that more-exposed rival here, however, likely to face contrasting conditions this time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 12/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS12/1144 @ Carlisle 14/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f Sft 154 · HIGHER CLASS14/1244 @ Newcastle 15/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 162 · HIGHER CLASS15/0144 @ Carlisle 03/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f GS 159 · HIGHER CLASS3/0245 @ Carlisle 04/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 85 · 2m3f61y Goo 156 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 85 par4/045OR 855 @ Perth 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 82 · 2m4f35y GS 150 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 82 par13/055OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-13Perth52nd2nd0
2026-04-04Carlisle57th7th0
2026-02-03Carlisle47th6th+1
2026-01-15Newcastle49th8th+1
2025-12-14Carlisle44th3rd+1
2025-11-12Ayr45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1114/1215/013/024/0413/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -10.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20255th16/116%50%+0.34
14/12/20254th40/10%63%+0.63
15/01/20269th100/10%27%+0.27
03/02/20267th150/10%45%+0.45
04/04/20267th4/179%25%-0.54
13/05/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30