4

Golden Prosperity

7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 46

Pontefract · ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap · 5f 3y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to form when second of 9 in classified event at Thirsk (6f, good) last month and went off too hard at Catterick next time. Not making much of an impression when meeting a bit of trouble back in handicap company at Redcar 2 weeks ago and others make more appeal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 52 · 5f217y Goo 148 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 52 par26/056OR 526 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 5f110y Goo 130 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 50 · 5f1y Gd 130 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 50 par22/066OR 506 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 50 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 49 · 5f Goo 129 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 49 par14/076OR 496 @ Redcar 29/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 49 · 5f217y Goo 131 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Thirsk 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 48 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 48 par7/086OR 486 @ Catterick 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 48 · 7f6y Goo 135 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 47 · 5f217y Goo 129 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 47 par9/096OR 47projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar610th10th0
2026-08-26Catterick67th7th0
2026-08-07Thirsk62nd2nd0
2026-07-29Redcar67th7th0
2026-07-14Beverley63rd3rd0
2026-07-01Thirsk63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/051/077/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/202612th28/10%0%0.00
15/06/20265th14/126%50%+0.24
22/06/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
01/07/20263rd22/10%88%+0.88
14/07/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
29/07/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
07/08/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
26/08/20267th11/271%50%-0.21
09/09/202610th12/137%40%+0.03