4

Golden Prosperity
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 46
Pontefract · ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap · 5f 3y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |