2

Jojo Rabbit

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 59

Pontefract · ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap · 5f 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

All the better for reappearance when landing soft-ground handicap at C&D in April (from 4 lb higher mark). Shaped up quite well without really being seen to maximum effect a couple of times over the summer but seemingly no excuses when down the field at Leicester earlier this month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 68 · 5f3y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 68 par29/045OR 685 @ Beverley 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 66 · 5f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 66 · 5f3y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 66 par22/055OR 665 @ Wolverhampton 29/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 67 · 5f21y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Beverley 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 66 · 5f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 66 par16/065OR 665 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 65 · 5f Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 65 · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 65 par13/085OR 656 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 62 · 5f1y Goo 133 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Leicester 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 61 · 5f GS 134 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 61 par8/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Leicester69th9th0
2026-08-25Musselburgh64th4th0
2026-08-13Beverley510th9th+1
2026-07-28Beverley54th3rd+1
2026-06-16Beverley56th5th+1
2026-05-29Wolverhampton58th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0429/0513/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength27%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20267th10/382%14%-0.68
12/05/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47
22/05/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03
29/05/20268th11/142%22%-0.20
16/06/20266th15/261%38%-0.23
28/07/20264th8/158%63%+0.05
13/08/202610th18/15%0%-0.05
25/08/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
08/09/20269th11/142%20%-0.22