8
Nad Alshiba Snow
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 45
Pontefract · ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap · 5f 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/06/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 10% | -0.53 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |