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6

Ziva's Star

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 45

Pontefract · ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap · 5f 3y

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winless from 26 starts but she did react well to blinkers when runner-up at Redcar last month (had benefit of good track position). Not in the same form when mid-field there 2 weeks ago and others look more solid on balance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Doncaster 24/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 45 · 5f3y Goo 126 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 45 par24/046OR 456 @ Redcar 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 45 · 5f217y Goo 126 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 45 · 7f6y GS 126 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 45 par16/056OR 456 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 42 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 42 par6 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 121 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 45 par21/066OR 456 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 45 · 5f Goo 126 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Catterick 04/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 42 · 7f6y Goo 135 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 42 par4/086OR 426 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 45 · 5f217y Goo 126 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 46 · 5f217y Goo 128 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 46 par9/096OR 46projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar68th8th0
2026-08-22Redcar62nd2nd0
2026-08-04Catterick67th7th0
2026-07-14Beverley66th6th0
2026-06-21Pontefract67th7th0
2026-06-08Leicester63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/048/064/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20267th50/10%54%+0.54
07/05/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
16/05/20269th25/10%33%+0.33
08/06/20263rd15/261%75%+0.14
21/06/20267th50/10%40%+0.40
14/07/20266th22/10%44%+0.44
04/08/20267th80/10%0%0.00
22/08/20262nd66/10%93%+0.93
09/09/20268th20/10%53%+0.53