7

Poppular

2yo Gelding · 8-12

Pontefract · Always Trying Racing Syndicate EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Baaeed gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 7f-1¼m winner City of Poets and 5f winner Popular Dream. Showed only greenness in Chester maiden.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength34%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f1y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS12/092
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Chester28th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/09/20268th40/10%0%0.00