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Rogue Crusader

2yo Colt · 9-8

Pontefract · Always Trying Racing Syndicate EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Persian King colt who justified strong support when making a successful debut at Kempton 3 weeks ago, knuckling down well and seeming to have a bit in hand at the line. Form looks ordinary but he's sure to progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m Sta 1304/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20261st5/493%100%+0.07