Special Operations
2yo Colt · 8-12
Pontefract · Always Trying Racing Syndicate EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -32.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/08/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |