IvyArcIvyArc
8

Sayidah Bahra

2yo Filly · 9-2

Pontefract · Celebrating The Life Of Bobby Howard EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Naval Crown filly. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Laraaib. Beaten less than a length when a promising fourth in Carlisle novice on debut 5 weeks ago, taking the eye with how easily she got into contention. Sure to improve so big shout.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 12819/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Carlisle44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20264th12/137%50%+0.13