2

Captaincy

2yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 81

Pontefract · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on a promising debut third at Leicester by landing the odds in an 11-runner novice at Windsor (6f, firm) 87 days ago. Likely to progress further now stepping into nursery company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 13326/0544 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f12y GF 13329/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Windsor41st1st0
2026-05-26Leicester43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0529/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

Delivery trend -63.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20263rd18/15%71%+0.66
29/06/20261st4/797%100%+0.03