1

Reflect On Glory

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 82

Pontefract · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

84%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found significant improvement from his debut when winning 4-runner novice at Ripon (6f, good to firm) last month. Beat a next-time-out winner there but disappointed when only fifth of 7 in a similar race at Haydock (7f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Makes nursery debut for fair-looking opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 13027/0744 @ Ripon 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 6f Goo 1333/0844 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 82 · 6f212y Sft 134 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 82 par3/094OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock45th5th0
2026-08-03Ripon41st1st0
2026-07-27Ripon43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/073/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength7%

Delivery trend -33.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09
03/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
03/09/20265th13/891%33%-0.58