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Reflect On Glory
2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 82
Pontefract · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -33.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |